June 5, 2025
Today I post the SIL etf weekly chart, which is composed of larger silver miners, vs. SILJ which is supposed to focus on junior silver miners, though its weighted heavily towards the mid-caps in the group. Here again we see a significant breakout today, the sixth time SIL has come up to test the $47.50 area. The beautiful thing about this chart is that this move is occurring without much fanfare or participation by investors, also silver itself has just broken the $36 level today, finally clearing the $35 resistance that has held for awhile now. I can confidently say that new all-time highs are in the cards for both SIL and Silver (and SILJ too), and they likely won’t take long to get there. Even better, the percentage gains from here are still substantial, when Silver gets to $50 it will have jumped almost 50% from today’s price, the miners will do even better than that, and the moves in Silver happen very quickly, to add icing on the cake.
Even though we have had a stellar week, one of the best in my career with accounts I manage up more than 20% just this week, there is still tons of upside left in the metals and miners. But you can’t wait much longer, for example, already I would not chase the move with options, or the most speculative juniors since they are both up a lot already in a short period of time. I wouldn’t buy the options here because the upside volatility has exploded and the buyer has to pay up for that, and I won’t add to my junior explorers because they have been starved of operating capital for awhile now, much higher prices and some of them will do secondary offerings in which the dilution will eat up your gains. Still, I have not sold and won’t the options and junior I have at the moment, the unrealized gains are large enough that a dilution for pullback has little chance of knocking me out of the game.
Miners might be moving higher so quickly to catch up to the metals themselves, or investors might be licking their chops thinking of the fat earnings and huge free cash flows that will be reported in the next earnings releases, starting in early August. The miners reported record results for the first quarter, typically the worst of the year for miners, imagine what the numbers will be like this quarter, with higher average selling prices for their metals. In short, the miners have some serious catching up to do, and I am confident they will do it, just like always. They are the place to be now.